Monday, February 9, 2009

SWR boys hoops in playoffs

No big surprise here. The Shoreham-Wading River boys clinched a playoff spot with a win Monday night against Mount Sinai. The Wildcats and Longwood are the only boys teams to earn playoff spots this season.

On the girls side, only Shoreham and Mount Sinai are in. The two teams met Monday as well and Shoreham won to improve to 11-3 in League VI while the Mustangs fell to 8-6.

For an updated look at potential playoff seeding, let's start with the boys.
In Class AA, with Bay Shore's win Monday night against Walt Whitman, I'll guess the Marauders take the top seed in the playoffs. They're currently 12-1 in League II and 16-2 overall, the best record in AA. I think Longwood should get the No. 2 seed, assuming a win Tuesday against Sachem East. The Lions would finish at 10-2 and 16-3. From there you'd have Whitman (11-2, 13-5), Lindenhurst (8-3, 14-4), Bellport (11-0, 15-3) Copiague (9-2, 13-5) and North Babylon (9-2, 13-5) all vying for the next five seeds. All of those teams should host a first-round game. Don't be shocked if Pat-Med, a fourth-place League I team, sneaks in as a seven or eight seed.

A lot is still riding on the last game of the season for all these teams.

In Class A, the Wildcats finished 7-7 in league and will be a bottom seed, likely to face an outbracket game and then have to go on the road to East Hampton or Harborfields. Expect their playoff run to be short.

As for the girls, the first question is who gets the top seed in Class A, Harborfields (13-0, 16-2 League V) or John Glenn (13-0, 16-2 League VI). This is a big question for Shoreham. As a four seed, if the Wildcats win, they'll have to go on the road to the No. 1 seed. I think they'd like their chances against the Knights, a team they've played so many times before. Remember, the Wildcats, after losing twice by big margins in the regular season, nearly beat them last year on the road. Maybe, just maybe, they'd be able to pull of the upset this time in a similar, low-scoring game. Having to face a team like Harborfields that you're completely unfamiliar with doesn't sound good to me. I'd rather face the team that you know exactly what it can do. And hope you're due to win one.

First, though, the Wildcats will likely have to face a team like Amityville. The Wildcats beat the Warriors twice in the regular season, but they're a dangerous team. Sayville or Comsewogue could be in the mix as well for a five seed, although both teams have worse records than Amityville. But sometimes the seeding committee likes to have first-round matchups of League V vs. League VI teams. You never know....

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